Marine Inundation hazard exposure modelling and social, economic and environmental vulnerability assessment with regard to global change

Projet terminé

Project leader BRGM
Industrials partners SOGREAH
Research partners CNRS/UM1/SupAgro/INRA (LAMETA), CNRS/Universités Bordeaux 1 et 4/EPHE (EPOC), CNRS/IFRESI, Ecole des Ponts/IFSTTAR/UPEMLV/Université Paris Est (LVMT)
Budget 1 726 K€
Cofinanceur publics ANR
Year of labeling 2007
Year of co-financing 2007

This project involves the development of a methodology for quantifying the coastal area’s social, economic and environmental risks and vulnerability to flooding, in a context of global change (climate and human impact) right across the Languedoc Roussillon region and on a local scale at some sites.

This implies scientific developments in terms of coastal hydrodynamic models by creating a platform of models which, through climate forcing, will define flood levels, their extent and the return period of this type of event. It also aims to create prospective socio-economic scenarios (2010, 2020, 2050) and evaluate their impact on jeopardizing the market value and non-market services, to analyse the damages process and the associated costs and to analyse the capacity for adapting to risk through society’s perception of risk and the responses given by the decision making bodies.

It offers:

  • The establishment of a chain of action to model hazards (pairing and development of different existing models)
  • The integration of different drivers (storms, rising sea levels, set up …) to define the hazard
  • The establishment of a cross-disciplinary toolbox to sit between hazard exposure and socio-economic impact.
  • The type and detailed evaluation of market and non-market issues.
  • The definition of the function of damages and evaluation through assessment of the socio-economic capacity to adapt.
  • A data hierarchy approach to optics in order to respond to the need for integrated coastal management.